This is the 15th year the Jewish People Policy Institute
(JPPI) has published its Annual Assessment. Every year, JPPI’s Annual
Assessment seeks to offer a snapshot of the state of world Jewry. The gauges
used to evaluate how world Jewry is doing year-to-year are largely unchanged
this year, with one critical exception, community bonds. We are including for
the first year an expanded version of the yearly Integrated index on Antisemitism.
The integrative index examines the threat to Jews in
different countries, by tracking antisemitic incidents, the public’s attitude
toward Jews, and the feelings of the local Jewish community, which also express
that community’s trust in the local government’s ability and desire to protect
them. Antisemitism is rising by every metric and can potentially affect each of
the other measures we weigh every year in the Assessment: Geopolitics,
Inter-Communal Bonds, Identity and Identification, Material Resources and
Demography. Antisemitism is no longer a secondary concern but has significant
impact on Israel and the Jewish people worldwide.
As the Integrated Antisemitism Index describes, the sheer
number of antisemitic incidents has risen around the world, including in the
United States. The FBI reported that Jews are the most targeted religion-based
group by hate crimes, although Jews comprise less than two percent of the
American population. Most of the more violent antisemitic attacks in the US
seem unrelated to Israeli policies, although on college campuses the insidious,
if non-violent, BDS movement feeds on overblown portrayals of Israeli policies.
This has taken a toll on American Jews: nearly three-quarters of American Jews
polled felt less secure than they did two years ago.
On the other hand, the rate of those in North America who
hold antisemitic views is not high nor is it growing. An ADL survey shows that
only 14 percent of Americans hold antisemitic views while over half of
Americans are concerned with antisemitic violence. A recent Gallup poll
indicates that over 90 percent of Americans would not hesitate to vote for a
Jew As President, while another study showed that Jews are the most admired
religious group in the US above Catholics, Evangelicals and other religious
groups.
Why the disconnect between record high numbers of antisemitic
incidents and record-high acceptance of Jews in the US? There is a direct
connection between this phenomenon and the weakening of globalization and the
rise in populist nationalism. Around the globe, a hard-core minority of
populist nationalists enjoys increased exposure in “marginalizing the other” in
society. The extremists among these at times turn to violence, verbal or
physical, including against Jews. Alongside these, worrying trends of antisemitism
from the other side of the political spectrum abound.
Left-wing groups in Europe, including Muslim migrant
populations, also identify an opportunity to advance their own antisemitic
rhetoric. The antisemitism in Europe is entirely more threatening than that in
the US. Across Europe, antisemitism is rising and sentiment against Israel along
with it. The sources are a dangerous combination of a radical minority of the
increasingly large Muslim migrant population in the continent, and the far left
and far right on the political spectrum.
At both ideological extremes, the falsehood resonates that
Jews control the financial and political strings of the world. Jeremey Corbin
the leader of the British Labour Party regards Hamas and Hezbollah as friends,
leading eight Labour members of parliament to leave their party. Jonathan
Sacks, the former chief rabbi of the UK, has called Corbin an “existential
threat” to British Jews.
Clearly, the rise in antisemitism affects Israel–the state
of the Jewish people–insofar as it takes on a greater responsibility both to
focus on protection of Jews in the Diaspora and the relations Israel has with a
number of different states. Managing these important foreign relations demands
navigating a relatively new reality: many of the new populist leaders in
countries like Hungary, Italy, Poland and other places may create an
environment unfriendly to the immigrant and to “the other,” which can encourage
a rise in antisemitism, but tend to be supportive of the State of Israel.
The dilemma the Israeli government faces is complicated.
Strong relations and support for Israel in the international arena has clear
value. But it comes with a price: when this support comes from populist
governments or leaders, it actually tends to exacerbate growing tensions
between the Israeli government and the Diaspora. On the one hand, embracing
authoritarian leaders like Orban of Hungary raises the question of whether the
government of Israel will itself standup against antisemitism when it is
diplomatically inconvenient. Drawing close to such leaders signals that the
rightward turn of the Israeli public and could also signal a departure from
such core values as tolerance, kindness, respect for the other–which define the
essence of Jewish values for many in the Diaspora.
Nowhere is this dilemma more acute than in the relationship
of the Government of Israel with President Trump. America is Israel’s most
important and indeed only true ally. And, Donald Trump’s friendship toward
Israel has led to impressive results: declaring Jerusalem Israel’s capital,
moving the American embassy, recognizing Israeli sovereignty in the Golan
Heights, providing unlimited support in the United Nations, consistently
backing Israel’s right of self-defense in Gaza and elsewhere, and calling out
the threat that Iran represents to Israel and the region. However, like other
populist leaders, President Trump also raises problems for Israel in America.
He is a polarizing figure in the United States and identifying with him so
publicly has served to alienate most Democrats and a significant majority of
American Jewry from Israel. Certainly, any Israeli leader and government would
need to have good relations with any American president. However, the long-term
interest of Israel demands strong relations with the entire American political
spectrum. The Israeli government runs the risk of alienating a significant part
of the Jewish community in the United States with too close an embrace of the
president–especially younger Jews. Moreover, as recent polling shows, such
attitudes are no longer limited only to younger Jews but are affecting the
importance of Israel in the eyes of many older members of the American Jewish
community as well.
All this helps explain why the gauge on inter-communal
bonds is slightly more negative this year than last, even at a time when the
rise of antisemitism should foster greater solidarity within the Diaspora. This
seems to be a paradox, but the factors noted above help to explain why the
measure is more negative this year than last.
Other measures in the Annual Assessment remain largely the
same. In the instance of geopolitics, the picture is mixed with offsetting
realities. Yes, Israel’s Sunni Arab neighbors have drawn closer to Israel,
because they share common perceptions of threats from Iran. However, another
factor is driving key Arab leaders to improve relations with Israel: the
perception that the United States is withdrawing from the region and is not
keen to live up to commitments.
It is geopolitically beneficial that Arab leaders see the
value of close cooperation with Israel. It is, however, worrying that one of
the reasons driving this is the sense that the US is withdrawing or wants less
and less to do in the region. As Russia and China become more involved in the
region, especially as the US retrenches, Israel will face more challenges.
Additionally, a US-China trade war
will also pose a significant challenge for Israel as it seeks to preserve its
economic trading relationship with China.
As always, this year’s Assessment does not provide just a
snapshot of what is changing this year from last, but also makes
recommendations for actions. One recommendation that stands out on the rise of antisemitism
is the importance of developing “a set of guiding principles” for the Israeli
government and other global or public leaders to use in responding to this
issue wherever it arises. Similarly, at a time when the US is seemingly less
willing to remain engaged in the Middle East, this may be the time to formalize
America’s commitments to Israel, through “a long-term strategic contractual alliance”
with the United States.
Like all of the recommendations, these are
thought-provoking and should be carefully considered by Israeli and Diaspora
leaders in America and around the world.
